Last week I attended the Futures Industry Association (FIA 2011) trade show in Chicago. Along with our partners in crime Numerix, Sybase and the folks from Panopticon we spent two days chatting about Risk Analytics, Complex Event Processing, Derivatives, micro-breweries, Wall Street protesters and sushi. Time well spent.
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After several visitors to our booth expressed an interest in real-time derivative pricing, someone brought up the credit crunch issue and how much of it may have been based on improper derivative pricing. Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO) and their faulty valuations have certainly been at the forefront of the debate, prompting the New York Times to print a scathing coverage of the issue, appropriately titled "How Wall Street Lied to its Computers". That got my wheels spinning. When it comes to complex, cross-asset derivative pricing (ie. CDO, Swaps or Milti-Legged Options) only a hand-full of large financial institutions can afford to invest in a large in-house quant team that can provide the proper pricing services. And in many cases the organizations that price such securities are also the market makers for those securities. |
Since the rest of the financial industry relies on those prices (set by the market makers) to be accurate in order to properly valuate risk and opportunuty, it begs the question. Does owning the pricing services constitute a price monopoly? We beleive it does. The problem here is that pricing and valuation models are considered intellectual property, the so called 'secret sauce' of a financial institution and are therefore not subject to anti-trust laws the same way other monopolies are. As such, the bigger question is whether an Open Derivative Pricing platform can solve the problem? Is Pricing as a Service a possible way to harness the wisdom of crowds and assist in self-regulation of the derivatives market? Can crowd sourcing result in more accurate risk models (based on a price equilibrium) and resolve the price monopoly stale mate?









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